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https://hdl.handle.net/1822/84686
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Campo DC | Valor | Idioma |
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dc.contributor.author | Boukari, Mamadou | por |
dc.contributor.author | Veiga, Francisco José | por |
dc.date.accessioned | 2023-05-23T13:53:28Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2021-10 | - |
dc.identifier.citation | Boukari, M. and Veiga, F.J. (2021) Fiscal forecast manipulations and electoral results: evidence from Portuguese municipalities, Journal of Public Finance and Public Choice, vol 36, no 2, 115–138, DOI: 10.1332/251569120X16055408993874 | por |
dc.identifier.issn | 2515-6918 | por |
dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/1822/84686 | - |
dc.description | First published online 14 December 2020 | por |
dc.description.abstract | This article aims to evaluate the impact of budget forecast manipulations on election results using a sample that covers all 308 Portuguese municipalities over the period running from 1998 to 2017. The results reveal that incumbent mayors overestimate revenues and expenditures. Overstating the budget more on the revenue side, they end up with a deficit. We check if this opportunistic behaviour is electorally beneficial. The results provide little or no evidence that election-year manipulations of revenue forecasts affect the vote shares of the party of the incumbent mayor. On the other hand, the opportunistic management of total and capital expenditure forecasts pays off, which is consistent with previous results for Portugal indicating that increased total and, mainly, capital expenditures lead to higher vote shares. | por |
dc.description.sponsorship | Francisco Veiga is thankful for the financial support of the Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology (FCT) within the projects UID/ECO/03182/2019 and UIDB/03182/2020. | por |
dc.language.iso | eng | por |
dc.publisher | Bristol University Press | por |
dc.relation | info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UID%2FECO%2F03182%2F2019/PT | por |
dc.relation | info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UIDB%2F03182%2F2020/PT | por |
dc.rights | restrictedAccess | por |
dc.subject | budget forecast errors | por |
dc.subject | elections | por |
dc.subject | municipalities | por |
dc.subject | Portugal | por |
dc.title | Fiscal forecast manipulations and electoral results: evidence from Portuguese municipalities | por |
dc.type | article | - |
dc.peerreviewed | yes | por |
dc.relation.publisherversion | https://bristoluniversitypressdigital.com/view/journals/jpfpc/36/2/article-p115.xml | por |
oaire.citationStartPage | 115 | por |
oaire.citationEndPage | 138 | por |
oaire.citationIssue | 2 | por |
oaire.citationVolume | 36 | por |
dc.date.updated | 2023-05-23T12:56:46Z | - |
dc.identifier.eissn | 2515-6926 | por |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1332/251569120X16055408993874 | por |
dc.date.embargo | 10000-01-01 | - |
dc.subject.fos | Ciências Sociais::Economia e Gestão | por |
dc.subject.wos | Social Sciences | - |
sdum.export.identifier | 12601 | - |
sdum.journal | Journal of Public Finance and Public Choice | por |
dc.subject.jel | D72 | - |
dc.subject.jel | H72 | - |
Aparece nas coleções: | EEG - Artigos em revistas de circulação internacional com arbitragem científica |
Ficheiros deste registo:
Ficheiro | Descrição | Tamanho | Formato | |
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Boukari_Veiga_2021_JPFPC.pdf Acesso restrito! | 732,86 kB | Adobe PDF | Ver/Abrir |