Parameter estimation for eutrophication models in reservoirs

Abstract

Excessive eutrophication is a major water quality issue in lakes and reservoirs worldwide. This complex biological process can lead to serious water quality problems. Although it can be adequately addressed by applying sophisticated mathematical models, the application of these tools in a reservoir management context requires significant amounts of data and large computation times. This work presents a simple primary production model and a calibration procedure that can efficiently be used in operational reservoir management frameworks. It considers four state variables: herbivorous zooplankton, algae (measured as chlorophyll-a pigment), phosphorous and nitrogen. The model was applied to a set of Portuguese reservoirs. We apply the model to 23 Portuguese reservoirs in two different calibration settings. This research work presents the results of the estimation of model parameters.